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"label": "嘴上咄咄逼人，但对于实际发动战争却非常谨慎。当然，如果有人真的",
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"label": "找出在21世纪发动成功战争的公式，那么地狱之门可能会立即敞开。正",
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"label": "希望这只是一个例外。",
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"label": "因为如此，俄罗斯在克里米亚的成功就成了一个特别可怕的预兆。我们",
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"label": "愚蠢进行曲",
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"label": "很遗憾，就算发动战争在21世纪无利可图，也无法绝对保证和平。",
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"label": "我们绝不能低估人类的愚蠢，无论是在个人层面，还是在集体层面，人",
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"label": "类常常做出自我毁灭的举动。",
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"label": "1939年，战争对于轴心国来说大概也是弊大于利，但世界仍然陷入",
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"label": "战火。第二次世界大战令人意想不到的一件事，就是战败国在战后竟然",
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"label": "进入前所未有的兴盛期。不论是德国、意大利，还是日本，在军队投降、",
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"label": "帝国彻底崩溃20年之后，富裕程度前所未见。它们一开始究竟为什么要",
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"label": "开战?为什么要让数百万人承受不必要的伤亡和破坏?这一切都只是因",
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"label": "为一个愚蠢的误判。在20世纪30年代，日本的将领、经济学家和新闻",
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"label": "工作者都认为，如果无法夺下朝鲜、中国东北和沿海地区，日本经济注",
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"label": "定会陷人停滞。8他们都错了，事实上，日本著名的经济奇迹是在日本输",
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"label": "掉了所有对其他国家的侵略战争之后才开始的。",
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"label": "人类的愚蠢是历史上最重要的力量之一，我们常常忽略了这件事。",
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"label": "政客、将领和学者把世界视为一个巨大的棋局，仿佛每走一步都要经过",
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"label": "仔细的理性计算。在某种程度上也确实如此。历史上很少有领导人真的",
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"label": "因为疯了，而随意移动小兵和骑士。东条英机、萨达姆等人在走每一步",
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"label": "时都有其理性的理由。但问题在于，世界比棋盘复杂得多，人的理性不",
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